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What
is Offset Countertrade & Structured Finance
Ask an Asian what is countertrade, offset and structured
finance? Probably, 7 out of 10 may tell you countertrade is
barter and no more. In addition, around 9 out of 10 may think
you are in the printing business if you tell them you are
involved in offset. Ask 10 persons what is structured finance
and you may get 10 different answers. These may seem trivia
until you consider the following. |
Approximately 130 out of 192 countries in the world require countertrade,
one form or another, in their procurements. Many of them did so
after having undertaken intensive and serious studies. Many global
companies have dedicated in-house specialists dealing specifically
with countertrade. Some 20% to 30% of world trade is countertrade.
The annual global market size for countertrade is estimated to be
between US$200 to US$500 billion. No one really knows what are the
correct percentages are and how large the true market size is. The
potential for its growth is so large that efforts were made by some
countries to curb the growth of certain forms of countertrade at
the World Trade Organisation (WTO). Yet the majority of these very
countries are the biggest perpetrators of its practices, restricting
their practices within the exceptions contained in the agreement
promulgated at the WTO.
If you do not know the above, you may wish to ask, what have you
(“you” referring to both governments and industries
in Asia) been missing? And ask further can you afford to?
Countertrade is a generic word, or umbrella term, representing
various types of reciprocal arrangements and linked transactions.
At one time one can be contented with just “reciprocal arrangements”,
but it will not be complete today, without adding “linked
transactions” to this definition. This is not to suggest that
“reciprocal arrangements” is wrong. This article explains
why “linked transactions” is a necessary addition, fortifies
the knowledge we have of the growing value of reciprocal arrangements
to the Asian economies and why the anomaly referred to at the beginning
of this article will be short-lived.
One can at the risk of over simplification suggest that some of
the problems facing governments and industries in Asia, are the
insatiable hunger for liquidity, dealing with increased risks in
the environment, facing the ever growing intensity of competition
and even merely living this shrinking world epitomized by the word
“globalisation”.
Liquidity and Risks
The commodity- and resource-rich countries of Asia know what is
barter and derivatives of barter known generally as clearing arrangements
although not necessarily that it is but only one form of countertrade.
They like their western counterparts too practised these since time
immemorial and the practices continue to be prevalent albeit at
government-to-government levels mostly.
Thus a proposal have been made by some ASEAN countries to enter
into Bilateral Payment Arrangements as an alternative trade mechanism
allowing the use of local currency in payment of goods traded between
two contracting countries. Those who are not so endowed by Mother
Nature, like Singapore, will have to ask themselves the extent of
their trade with commodity-rich countries, whether it possesses
comparative advantages to play a part in the supply and value chain
and whether it is still necessary to speak the countertrade language,
notwithstanding.
Aside from such reciprocal arrangements, what Asian countries have
still to grapple with are structured finance techniques where the
underlying transactions are founded on various known forms of countertrade
notably those known as buyback and counter purchase. Until an agreed
definition of structured finance was finally reached through the
efforts of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD) in 1999 as a technique where certain assets with cash flows
can be isolated from the originator in order to deal with the risks
specific to these assets, the objective being to secure or improve
credit, structured finance was a confusing scene in Asia. Witness
the following wide and almost meaningless range of definitions :
-
“Refers to the sum of banking operations pertaining to an
import or export of commodities which are not plain vanilla”
“Provides working capital in difficult environment by mitigating
the risk through mortgaging an export flow”
“Include a wide array of instruments, leverage buyouts, management
buy-outs, restructuring, industrial projects, infrastructure projects,
secured debts, term loans, operating loans and asset based secured
lending"
“Makes the use of commodity or asset to improve the credit
quality of financing"
We now arrive at the first observation. Whilst alternate forms
for generating liquidity are within the able grasps of most Asian
countries, the techniques of structured finance have yet to be fully
exploited by Asian enterprises. This leaves a big void in risk mitigation
methods.
It is already known that the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision
meeting in the Bank for International Settlements will be recommending
replacing by 2005 a one-size fit all and broad-brush structure with
a risk sensitive framework for bank regulators to adopt. One word
describes the cost of capital rising from the need to price risks
after 2005, judging from the risks already inherent in the Asian
environment. Painful. Kudos to those who are already risk-centric
in their operations for they will streak further ahead in the widening
divide so characteristic of globalisation between the able and the
less able. The mitigating of systemic risks cannot however be the
concerns of Asian industries alone. The Asian governments have an
important role to play for it is they who must bring about structural
and legal reforms, infrastructural developments and generally create
the right macro environment.
Competition and globalisation.
Everyone knows that the cheapest price competition model of most
Asian countries is under severe threat today. China produces far
cheaper than many Asian countries. With price advantages gone (in
some cases, gone for good) the only avenue left for Asian industries
is to differentiate its offerings from those of its competitors
and compete beyond price, quality and service.
Differentiation means either the seller proactively adds value
in order to beat the competition or wait for the buyer to determine
and compel the value added it wants. The Seller who fails to meet
the requisite value added loses the sale. What seemed to be still
overlooked by some Asian countries is the power of a Public-Private-Partnership,
(or PPP as it is known in the West) which the specie of countertrade
known as offset engenders. Those already in the know will appreciate
that it is one tool to neutralise some of the unavoidable consequences
of globalisation.
What then is offset? Offset is a practice whereby a seller agrees
as a condition of his sale to undertake activities, which will benefit
the buyer, giving the buyer more value for his money. That a government
can in its various procurements require the seller to benefit its
own industries makes offset an apt tool to advance a country’s
PPP initiatives.
Many Asian countries have already awakened to the benefits of offset.
In Malaysia for example, one finds both types of buyer and seller
driven offset initiatives. Defence contractors know that the Malaysian
government requires in their defence procurements that the contractors
assist to promote the sale of Malaysian palm oil. Never mind if
the defence contractors do not know the difference between palm
oil and the oils for their gun barrels.
In the bidding for the construction of hydroelectric dam project,
Chinese contractors proactively offered to commit, among others,
to a long-term purchase of Malaysian palm oil if they get the construction
job for the main dam. Another bidder offered to bring in Middle
East investors to set up by way of a foreign direct investment (FDI)
an aluminum smelting plant near the dam site if they get the job
for the main dam. Will the Chinese be outdone? One thing is for
sure: come 2004, when the grace period for the conditions for China’s
full accession to the WTO take effect, China’s industries
would be clamouring for more PPP assistance by way of offset in
order to be more competitive. They are after all battle scarred
and experienced.
This brings us to our second observation. The form of countertrade
known as offset or “industrial participation”, “industrial
cooperation”, industry involvement”, “industrial
and regional benefits” or simply, “local contents”
as some countries confusingly call it is poised to grow phenomenally
in Asia. The offset practices now prevailing in Asia badly needs
to catch up with the changes and sophistication achieved in the
West. If the Chinese dragon is already so feared today, than, as
our American friends will say, “We ain’t seen nothing
yet” when China embraces offset.
Conclusion
So countertrade is an umbrella term for all types of reciprocal
dealings and linked transactions. What then are the objectives?
The better-know objective is to provide solutions, complimenting
conventional methods, which are inappropriate or unavailable. Less
known - and possibly more important in both good or bad times alike
but more so the latter - is the objective to create opportunities
to multiply, direct or bring additional benefits from one originating
transaction.
It does not seem so preposterous after all that some 130 countries
require countertrade with the number growing. Some governments form
specialized agencies to help their own industries with countertrade
in order to better compete abroad. Global companies see it fit to
have in-house countertrade specialist and as much as 30% of world
trade is attributable to countertrade with a market size reaching
US$ 500 billion. Efforts at the WTO to stem its growth have only
succeeded in part. Perhaps it is time for Asian governments and
industries to ask if they have been missing out? If so, welcome
to the world of countertrade.
We will be grateful if you can feedback to us your comments
on this article at david.hew@apca.net |